CLARITY Act odds hit record-low 27% after Senate delay

cryptonews

Jul 29

Polymarket traders cut the CLARITY Act’s chances of becoming law in 2026 to a record-low 27% after the Senate postponed action on the crypto market structure bill. Summary CLARITY Act passage ...

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height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nCLARITY Act odds hit record-low 27% after Senate delay\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2026-07-29 23:48 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://crypto.news/clarity-act-odds-hit-record-low-27-after-senate-delay/><strong>cryptonews</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Polymarket traders cut the CLARITY Act’s chances of becoming law in 2026 to a record-low 27% after the Senate postponed action on the crypto market structure bill.\n\n\nSummary\n\n\n\nCLARITY Act passage ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://crypto.news/clarity-act-odds-hit-record-low-27-after-senate-delay/\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","isBrief":false,"type":0,"news_type":1,"symbol":"STCE","symbol_name":"Schwab Crypto Thematic ETF","start_time":0,"source_url":"https://crypto.news/clarity-act-odds-hit-record-low-27-after-senate-delay/","article_id":"2655639892","we_media_id":null,"thumbnails":[],"rights":{"source":"crypto_news_highlight","url":"https://crypto.news/clarity-act-odds-hit-record-low-27-after-senate-delay/","rn_cache_url":null,"directOrigin":true},"url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2655639892","pubTimestamp":1785340099,"columns":[],"sourceInfo":{"source_id":"crypto_news_highlight","name":"Crypto News"},"weMediaInfo":null,"summary":"Polymarket traders cut the CLARITY Act’s chances of becoming law in 2026 to a record-low 27% after the Senate postponed action on the crypto market structure bill.CLARITY Act passage odds fell to 27%, their lowest level since the Polymarket market opened.Senate leaders prioritized Russia sanctions and federal nominations before the scheduled Aug. 8 recess.Senators Ruben Gallego and Thom Tillis are preparing a bipartisan ethics counteroffer for the White House.SEC Chair Paul Atkins said the agency could write crypto rules without Congress if negotiations fail.CLARITY Act odds fall as Senate changes priorities. The Polymarket contract asking whether crypto market structure legislation will become law in 2026 fell to 27% on July 29. The price represents traders’ assessment rather than an independent forecast, but it shows growing doubts about the bill’s shrinking legislative window.The CLARITY Act would divide digital asset oversight between the Securities and Exchange Commission and the ","collect":0,"end_time":0,"defaultTopTitle":"crypto.news","property":[],"viewcount":null,"language":"en","relate_stocks":{"STCE":"Schwab Crypto Thematic ETF","BKCH":"AdvisorShares Sabretooth ETF","BITQ":"Bitwise Crypto Industry Innovators ETF","NCIQ":"HASHDEX NASDAQ CRYPTO INDEX US ETF","CRPT":"First Trust SkyBridge Crypto Industry and Digital Economy ETF","TEKX":"SPDR Galaxy Transformative Tech Accelerators ETF","BITW":"Bitwise 10 Crypto Index ETF","DIME":"CoinShares Altcoins ETF","GDLC":"Grayscale CoinDesk Crypto 5 ETF","LFGY":"YieldMax Crypto Industry and Tech Portfolio Option Income ETF","DAPP":"VanEck Digital Transformation ETF"},"translate_title":"参议院推迟后，《清晰法案》几率创下历史新低 27%","themeId":null,"isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":null,"symbols_score_info":{"NCIQ":0.81,"BITQ":0.81,"CRPT":0.81,"DAPP":0.81,"DIME":0.81,"LFGY":0.81,"STCE":0.81,"TEKX":0.81,"GDLC":0.81,"BITW":0.81,"BKCH":0.9},"content_text":"Polymarket traders cut the CLARITY Act’s chances of becoming law in 2026 to a record-low 27% after the Senate postponed action on the crypto market structure bill.\n\n\nSummary\n\n\n\nCLARITY Act passage odds fell to 27%, their lowest level since the Polymarket market opened.\nSenate leaders prioritized Russia sanctions and federal nominations before the scheduled Aug. 8 recess.\nSenators Ruben Gallego and Thom Tillis are preparing a bipartisan ethics counteroffer for the White House.\nSEC Chair Paul Atkins said the agency could write crypto rules without Congress if negotiations fail.\n\n\n\nCLARITY Act odds fall as Senate changes priorities\nThe Polymarket contract asking whether crypto market structure legislation will become law in 2026 fell to 27% on July 29. The price represents traders’ assessment rather than an independent forecast, but it shows growing doubts about the bill’s shrinking legislative window.\nSource: Polymarket\nGalaxy Digital has also lowered its estimated probability of passage to 30% as negotiations extend further into the Senate calendar.\nAs crypto.news reported, Senate Majority Leader John Thune postponed action on the CLARITY Act while lawmakers considered a Russia sanctions package and a group of federal nominees. The Senate voted on July 28 to advance the sanctions legislation, leaving fewer working days for the crypto bill before the Aug. 8 recess.\nIndustry participants have urged Thune to begin the cloture process before the break, even if the Senate cannot complete a final vote. A procedural vote could establish whether the measure has enough bipartisan support to advance later in the year.\nSenators prepare a new ethics counteroffer\nDemocratic Sen. Ruben Gallego and Republican Sen. Thom Tillis are finalizing a bipartisan counteroffer covering ethics restrictions in the bill. The lawmakers expect to submit the language to the White House within days.\nTillis indicated that the proposal could allow state attorneys general to enforce its ethics provisions instead of giving that authority only to the Department of Justice. Ethics rules covering elected officials and their financial interests in digital assets have become a central point in negotiations.\nA separate dispute over stablecoin rewards could create another delay. Banking groups have pushed lawmakers to restrict yield-bearing products that may compete with traditional deposits, while crypto companies argue that broad limits could reduce consumer choice.\nEven if senators reach an ethics agreement, the bill must still clear procedural thresholds, pass the Senate and resolve any differences with the House version. Those steps make passage before the recess increasingly unlikely.\nUS crypto firms seek federal market rules\nThe CLARITY Act would divide digital asset oversight between the Securities and Exchange Commission and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission. Its supporters say the framework would give exchanges, token issuers and blockchain developers clearer rules for operating in the United States.\nFlorida Rep. Mike Haridopolos renewed his support for the measure during a July 28 appearance on Fox Business. As crypto.news previously reported, the House Financial Services Committee member warned that continued delays could send investment and jobs to countries with clearer regulations.\n“This is about making sure that American markets are the premier markets in the world,” Haridopolos said.\nBlackRock, Goldman Sachs, Franklin Templeton, Fidelity, Charles Schwab and SoFi have also supported passage, challenging claims that Wall Street broadly opposes the legislation.\n“The Big Bank Lobby is trying to say that all of Wall Street is opposed to the Clarity Act. That’s completely false,” Sen. Cynthia Lummis said.\nThe Consumer Technology Association has made a similar economic argument, warning that regulatory uncertainty could push capital and employment outside the country.\nSEC could move ahead without Congress\nSEC Chair Paul Atkins said the regulator remains prepared to address parts of the crypto market structure debate through agency rulemaking if Congress fails to act.\nAtkins described the SEC as “ready, willing and able” to write rules under its existing authority. However, he said legislation remains preferable because a statute would provide a more durable framework than regulations that a future administration could revise.\nIndependent SEC action may clarify how the agency treats certain tokens, trading platforms and tokenized securities. It would not fully replace legislation establishing statutory jurisdiction between the SEC and CFTC.\nThe bipartisan ethics counteroffer is now the bill’s most immediate test. White House acceptance could help negotiations continue after the recess, but the Senate calendar and unresolved stablecoin dispute leave the CLARITY Act facing its weakest outlook so far.\n\n\n\n\n\n                Read more:\n            \n\n                MEXC integrates World-Check to fortify institutional-grade compliance architecture            \n\nUS Crypto Regulations — Read the full US Regulation Hub for the latest on SEC enforcement, IRS crypto tax rules, and pending legislation.","kind":"highlight","is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":false,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":false,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"0","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"isVideo":false,"video":null,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":0,"need_auth":false,"need_login_tip":false,"code":"91000000","status":"200"}}}