Woodside Energy Group (ASX:WDS) Following US Expansion Looks Undervalued On The Leading Narrative

Simply Wall St.

Jul 09

Woodside Energy Group (ASX:WDS) has expanded its presence in the United States by joining the Gulf South Business Roundtable and committing around US$20 billion to projects such as the Louisiana LNG ...

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The 30-day and 90-day share price...","collect":0,"end_time":0,"defaultTopTitle":"simplywall.st","property":[],"viewcount":null,"language":"en","relate_stocks":{"BK7142":"石油与天然气的勘探与生产","WDS.AU":"WOODSIDE ENERGY GROUP LTD"},"translate_title":"伍德赛德能源集团(ASX：WDS)在美国扩张后的主要叙述看起来被低估","themeId":null,"isJumpTheme":false,"ttsUrl":null,"symbols_score_info":{"WDS.AU":1},"content_text":"Woodside Energy Group (ASX:WDS) has expanded its presence in the United States by joining the Gulf South Business Roundtable and committing around US$20 billion to projects such as the Louisiana LNG Project and a new ammonia plant. See our latest analysis for Woodside Energy Group. Against this backdrop, Woodside Energy Group’s share price has been firming at the shorter end, with a 1-day share price return of 1.49% and 7-day share price return of 4.53%. The 30-day and 90-day share price returns are down 5.76% and 11.96% respectively, while the year-to-date share price return of 23.84% sits alongside a 1-year total shareholder return of 29.40% and 5-year total shareholder return of 85.74%. This points to stronger longer term momentum than the recent pullback suggests. If this kind of large scale energy investment has your attention, it could be a good moment to look across the sector and check out 35 power grid technology and infrastructure stocks Woodside Energy Group now combines firm long term share price momentum with fresh multibillion dollar US projects. Is it worth paying today’s A$29.30, or does waiting for a weaker patch make more sense as valuation comes into focus next? AdvertisementMost Popular Narrative: 7.6% Undervalued On the most followed narrative, Woodside Energy Group’s fair value of about A$31.69 sits above the last close at A$29.30, which puts more attention on the assumptions behind that gap.  In order for the above numbers to justify the price target of the analysts, the company would need to trade at a PE ratio of 20.2x on those 2029 earnings, up from 16.9x today. This future PE is greater than the current PE for the AU Oil and Gas industry at 15.8x.  Read the complete narrative. Curious what earnings path and margin profile sit behind that richer future multiple, and how modest top line growth still supports a higher valuation? The full narrative spells out the cash flow path, discount rate and earnings mix that need to line up for Woodside Energy Group to reach that fair value. Result: Fair Value of A$31.69 (UNDERVALUED) Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts. However, this narrative still faces pressure from potential LNG demand shifts under decarbonization policies and the risk that large projects like Scarborough or Louisiana LNG experience delays or higher costs. Find out about the key risks to this Woodside Energy Group narrative. Next Steps Feeling mixed after weighing the risks and rewards of Woodside Energy Group? Act quickly, review the full picture, and judge the balance for yourself with 1 key reward and 1 important warning sign Looking for more investment ideas beyond Woodside Energy Group? Do not stop with Woodside Energy Group. Broaden your watchlist with fresh, high conviction stock ideas shaped by hard numbers instead of headlines.  Target steadier potential returns and fewer surprises by focusing on companies flagged as resilient, low volatility candidates through the 8 resilient stocks with low risk scores. Zero in on quality at a reasonable price by scanning for companies that combine earnings strength with attractive valuations using the 11 high quality undervalued stocks. Spot lesser known opportunities before the crowd by filtering for strong fundamentals and healthy balance sheets with the screener containing 12 high quality undiscovered gems.   This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data\n        and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your\n        financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data.\n        Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.\n        Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.Discover if Woodside Energy Group might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.Access Free AnalysisHave feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com","kind":"highlight","is_publish_news":true,"is_publish_highlight":false,"is_publish_live":false,"is_publish_wemedia":false,"editions":null,"column":"","sentiment":"1","news_tag":"","news_rank":0,"isVideo":false,"video":null,"symbols":[],"gpt_button":0,"need_auth":false,"need_login_tip":false,"code":"91000000","status":"200"}}}