Just How K-shaped is the U.S. Economy? the Top 10% Spend Nearly as Much, Excluding Essentials, as Bottom 70% Combined

Dow Jones
Jul 07

Consumer spending can be held up by the wealthy.

The gulf between the rich and everyone else is laid out in a stark analysis done by Bank of America's economists on household spending.

Economists led by Shruti Mishra divided out consumption by household income, but importantly, stripped out the essentials of housing, utilities and healthcare.

Share of average annual expenditure by pre-tax income decile

The remainder can be thought of as discretionary spending. And the top 10% account for as much spending on discretionary items as the bottom 70% combined.

The number is less stark for total consumption, as the top 10% account for 23% of total consumption, the economists say.

A different way of crunching the numbers: 63% of spending by the bottom 10% is for energy goods (including gas), groceries, housing and healthcare, versus 31% for the top 10%.

"This asymmetry helps explain why aggregate consumption can remain resilient even as lower-income households face pressures from higher rents, elevated debt-servicing costs, weaker labor market outcomes, and greater exposure to energy price shocks," they say. "As long as higher-income consumers who are more insulated from these pressures and more exposed to equity wealth, tax relief, and higher-income continue to spend, headline consumption growth can mask underlying stress elsewhere in the economy."

The S&P 500 SPX sits just 1% below a record high and has gained 20% over the last 52 weeks.

The State Street SPDR S&P Retail ETF XRT is up 10% over the last 52 weeks.

-Steve Goldstein

This content was created by MarketWatch, which is operated by Dow Jones & Co. MarketWatch is published independently from Dow Jones Newswires and The Wall Street Journal.

 

(END) Dow Jones Newswires

July 07, 2026 06:19 ET (10:19 GMT)

Copyright (c) 2026 Dow Jones & Company, Inc.

At the request of the copyright holder, you need to log in to view this content

Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

Most Discussed

  1. 1
     
     
     
     
  2. 2
     
     
     
     
  3. 3
     
     
     
     
  4. 4
     
     
     
     
  5. 5
     
     
     
     
  6. 6
     
     
     
     
  7. 7
     
     
     
     
  8. 8
     
     
     
     
  9. 9
     
     
     
     
  10. 10