CAE's Long-Term Targets Viewed as 'Deliberately Conservative,' RBC Capital Markets Says

MT Newswires Live
May 27

CAE's (CAE) fiscal 2030 adjusted segment operating income target falls short of estimates and appears to be "deliberately conservative," RBC Capital Markets said in a research note Friday.

Management said on the earnings call that the targets embed meaningful execution risk and reflect a cultural reset, RBC said.

On free cash flow, the brokerage said it continues to flag that the 100% cumulative cash conversion target excludes lease liability principal payments and stock-based compensation, both of which are deducted from the firm's FCF calculation.

Analysts said, however, that they think the fiscal 2030 targets are achievable, with fiscal 2027 expected to be a transition year and fiscal 2028 as a plausible inflection point, although limited near-term visibility is likely to weigh on the stock.

RBC reduced its price target to 36 Canadian dollars ($26.07) from CA$42, and maintained its sector perform rating.

Shares of CAE were up 3.6% in Tuesday trading.

Price: 23.99, Change: +0.83, Percent Change: +3.58

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