On August 21, Mosaic rose 5.01% in regular trading, trading at $24.50/share, with turnover of $74.81 million. The fertilizers and agricultural chemicals sector extended its broad-based rally, with CF Industries up 3.74%, Nutrien up 2.43%, and Corteva up 2.44%.
The move was driven by continued market pricing of escalating Strait of Hormuz tensions after the US-Iran memorandum of understanding expired on August 17 without resolution, with current passage volumes at only 10-15% of pre-conflict levels. Sulfur supply constraints from the Middle East — which accounts for roughly 50% of global sulfur exports — are pushing up phosphate production costs. During its Q2 earnings call, Mosaic noted global phosphate output is expected to decline by up to 30 million tons year-over-year, with supply remaining tight through year-end.
Additionally, Mosaic recently launched Renuvis Enzara, a crop residue management product using targeted enzyme technology, expanding its bioscience business. RBC Capital Markets maintains an outperform rating with a $27 price target, citing potential benefits from eventual phosphate margin recovery.
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