Minimum Wage Hikes Return: A New Round of Salary Increases Begins

Deep News
Yesterday

The latest adjustment to minimum wage standards signals a fresh phase of income policy shifts. Guangdong province recently revised its minimum wage levels, with Guangzhou and Shenzhen raised to 2,680 yuan and 2,700 yuan per month respectively, while Zhuhai, Foshan, Dongguan, and Zhongshan were lifted to 2,300 yuan per month, reflecting increases ranging from 6% to 8%.

Under current regulations, minimum wage standards are原则上 required to be reviewed at least once every two years. The previous nationwide adjustment cycle occurred in 2025, with many provinces implementing increases exceeding 10%. After a gap of more than a year, Guangdong has taken the lead in raising standards, marking the opening of a new round of wage hikes, with most provinces expected to follow suit around the end of this year.

Notably, minimum wage standards are not applied uniformly across the board. Instead, they are categorized into two to four tiers based on regional development levels. Provincial capitals typically occupy the first tier, economically strong cities the second, and less developed areas the third and fourth tiers. Guangdong exemplifies this approach, with Guangzhou and Shenzhen in a class of their own, Foshan, Dongguan, Zhuhai, and Zhongshan in the second tier, and the eastern, western, and northern regions of the province sharing the third tier with correspondingly different standards.

Even Jiangsu, often dubbed the "Thirteen Tigers" for its economic strength, adopts a three-tier system. The third tier covers several counties and districts in northern Jiangsu, including Lianyungang, Huai'an, Yancheng, and Suqian. In detail, Guangdong's first-tier minimum wage ranks second only to Shanghai, surpassing Jiangsu and Zhejiang, but its second and third-tier areas fall behind the affluent Yangtze River Delta region.

This discrepancy is understandable. As a major economic province, Guangdong encompasses both the developed Pearl River Delta and the less developed eastern, western, and northern regions, making a uniform minimum wage impractical. The rationale is straightforward: minimum wage represents income for employees but also constitutes a cost for businesses. If it is pushed excessively high beyond development levels, it could undermine employment stability. Conversely, if some regions deliberately suppress minimum wages to attract investment and industrial relocation, they might reduce business costs but at the expense of overall public welfare.

Therefore, steadily raising minimum wage standards is not an optional choice for local governments but a baseline that must be upheld.

What practical impact does raising the minimum wage have? An increase in the minimum wage does not automatically mean all salaries will rise accordingly, nor does it signify comprehensive income growth. However, as the floor for wage levels, the minimum wage concerns not only the interests of vulnerable groups but also affects the vast majority of workers. Beyond the transmission effect where raising the lower limit may trigger gradual increases across pay scales—which benefits all wage earners—the minimum wage also serves as a reference benchmark for unemployment insurance, sick leave pay, overtime compensation, flexible employment arrangements, and wage guidance lines.

It should be noted that the social insurance contribution base is determined by the average social wage, not the minimum wage, with the former typically being three to five times the latter. Looking at the broader picture, raising the minimum wage is merely the beginning. "Wage increases" as a top-level design are now moving toward implementation. Recently, the "15th Five-Year Plan for Expanding Consumption" proposed implementing a plan to increase urban and rural residents' income, diversifying channels to boost residents' property income, and steadily raising minimum wage standards. Last year, documents from the General Offices of the CPC Central Committee and the State Council concerning "modern enterprise systems" emphasized promoting enterprises to establish sound mechanisms for reasonable wage growth.

According to incomplete statistics, since last year, more than ten important documents or meetings have included income growth, wage increases, and pension rises as core themes. "Wage increases" have attracted significant attention because over 60% of residents' income comes from wages, making it the sole source for most people. Income is a function of consumption, and the fundamental basis for expanding consumption lies in income. More important than whether people are willing to consume is whether they dare to consume and are able to consume. To raise income, wages serve as the foundation, but property income is equally indispensable.

Currently, property income from real estate and stocks accounts for less than 10% of residents' income in China, compared to around 20% in Europe and the United States, leaving room for improvement. Clearly, raising the minimum wage is only a prerequisite. Strengthening the wage growth system, increasing property income, and solidifying pension income are equally critical.

A chain reaction has begun, moving from "raising the low" to "adjusting the high." China's income reform strategy can broadly be summarized in six characters: raise the low, expand the middle, and adjust the high. This means increasing the income of low-income groups, expanding the size of the middle-income group, and regulating excessively high incomes—both enlarging the pie and distributing it fairly. Recently, following last year's requirement for overseas stock trading to pay back taxes, regulators have begun levying individual income tax on overseas insurance and offshore trusts. This represents tax regulation targeting high-net-worth individuals.

In other countries, inheritance taxes, capital gains taxes, and property taxes have long been in place. Similarly, salary caps for executives in the financial industry and state-owned enterprises are gradually being implemented domestically. The 15th Five-Year Plan for Human Resources and Social Security proposes deepening reform of the salary distribution system for SOE executives, regulating unreasonably high incomes, and strictly standardizing salary management across all levels of enterprises. Pay cuts in the financial sector are no longer news. According to 2025 financial reports, executive salaries at several banks have been reduced by over 20%, and the notion of securities firms with "annual salaries of a million per capita" has become a thing of the past.

Of course, capping high incomes is not about blanket egalitarianism. What is genuinely restricted is fixed compensation tied to positions and ranks, not value created through labor, technology, and innovation. This is clearly reflected in national documents: promoting higher pay for those who work more, those with higher skills, and those who innovate, while guiding wage distribution toward frontline positions. "Frontline positions" here primarily refers to personnel on the production, technology, research, and public service frontlines, benefiting grassroots technical staff and mid-level managers. In the future, "raising the low, expanding the middle, and adjusting the high" will be the prevailing trend, and everyone needs to adapt to this new landscape.

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