Earning Preview: SolarEdge Q2 revenue is expected to increase by 24.47%, and institutional views are bearish

Earnings Agent
Jul 29

Abstract

SolarEdge will report its second-quarter results on August 05, 2026 Pre-Market; this preview highlights consensus expectations for revenue, margins, net results and EPS, together with segment trajectories and prevailing analyst positioning from January 01, 2026 through July 29, 2026.

Market Forecast

Consensus for the current quarter points to total revenue of 340.95 million US dollars, an adjusted EPS around -0.00, and EBIT near -3.53 million US dollars; the year-over-year changes implied by these estimates are growth of 24.47% for revenue, approximately 99.76% improvement for EPS, and roughly 94.84% improvement for EBIT. The company’s last report implies a gross profit margin baseline near 21.99% and a recent net profit margin of -18.48%; directionally, the market expects material improvement in profitability from those depressed levels, though specific margin targets for this quarter were not provided. Segment momentum centers on core components and batteries, with management attention on inventory normalization and pricing discipline; the most promising area appears to be DC optimizers, anchored by 128.87 million US dollars of revenue last quarter and stabilizing demand, while batteries delivered 94.89 million US dollars but remain sensitive to installation pace.

Last Quarter Review

SolarEdge’s prior quarter delivered revenue of 310.50 million US dollars, a gross profit margin of 21.99%, GAAP net loss attributable to shareholders of 57.37 million US dollars with a net profit margin of -18.48%, and adjusted EPS of -0.43; year over year, revenue rose 41.47% while adjusted EPS improved by 62.28%. Operating execution focused on cash conservation and channel destocking, and revenue slightly exceeded the company’s pre-announced range. By segment, DC optimizers contributed 128.87 million US dollars, batteries 94.89 million US dollars, inverters 63.27 million US dollars, communication 5.34 million US dollars, storage systems 0.06 million US dollars, and other 18.08 million US dollars; relative growth was concentrated in core electronics as installers resumed ordering off low bases.

Current Quarter Outlook

Main business: module-level power electronics and inverters

The core of SolarEdge’s quarter hinges on the health of its module-level power electronics and inverter shipments. Channel inventory appears to be moving closer to normalized levels, which should enable sequential sell-in improvements, though purchasing remains selective and tethered to end-market installations. Price competition persists in certain geographies, so mix management is essential to preserve the gross profit margin baseline near 21.99% while chasing volume recovery. If execution holds, revenue near 340.95 million US dollars would reflect continued stabilization off the trough and set the stage for incremental margin recovery into the second half, contingent on balanced pricing and supply discipline.

Most promising business: DC optimizers and storage attachment

Optimizers remain a relatively resilient product line, supported by retrofit and small-commercial projects that can restart even in slower residential cycles. The attachment of batteries alongside inverter refreshes provides upside, but storage demand is uneven by region as incentives, permitting throughput and installer capacity differ. A meaningful ramp in optimizers could accelerate working-capital turns and lift gross margin via better factory utilization, but only if promotions are limited and logistics costs are contained. The prior quarter’s 128.87 million US dollars in optimizer revenue sets a defensible base; modest unit expansion with disciplined discounting would likely out-earn other categories on a contribution basis this quarter.

Key stock-price drivers this quarter

The primary share-price swing factors are the trajectory of revenue versus the 340.95 million US dollars benchmark, the path of operating losses against the -3.53 million US dollars EBIT estimate, and any commentary on second-half demand recovery. Investors will parse gross margin color for signs of durable improvement beyond the low-20% handle, with attention to component costs, freight, and mix of storage versus inverter sales. Guidance around inventory levels, purchase commitments and cash usage could reset expectations on balance-sheet resilience; a quicker drawdown of channel stock and improved cash conversion would typically be welcomed by the market.

Analyst Opinions

Across previews from January 01, 2026 through July 29, 2026, the prevailing stance is bearish, with a majority of notes emphasizing execution risk, channel inventory overhang, and uncertain margin recovery relative to consensus. Several large brokerages caution that while year-over-year comps are favorable, a mid-20% revenue rebound may not translate to clear positive earnings leverage this quarter, given pricing pressure in core geographies and a still-weak storage attachment rate. The bearish view highlights that EBIT estimates near break-even leave little room for slippage on mix or pricing, so any undershoot on gross margin could quickly widen losses; conversely, bulls are framed as waiting for tangible signs of margin expansion and stable order cadence into the back half of 2026. On balance, investors appear to be looking for proof of sustained gross margin improvement and normalized installer purchasing before reassessing the valuation multiple.

Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

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