According to the refined oil pricing rules, the next oil price adjustment will take place at 24:00 on October 15 (next Thursday).

The current round of oil price movements has been full of twists and turns. On Thursday, international oil prices once plunged by more than 4%. Although international crude oil rebounded slightly on Friday, a downward adjustment in this round is still expected.

On October 10, the sixth statistical day of the cycle, gasoline and diesel prices are estimated to be cut by 225 yuan per ton and 215 yuan per ton, respectively. Converted into retail prices, No. 92 gasoline is expected to fall by 0.18 yuan per liter, No. 95 gasoline by 0.19 yuan per liter, and No. 0 diesel by 0.19 yuan per liter. The current estimated reduction exceeds 0.15 yuan per liter, making a cut in this round highly likely and potentially ending the previous streak of three consecutive increases.

Looking back at this year's oil price trends, there are a total of 25 pricing windows in 2026. So far, 19 rounds have been implemented, with 6 remaining. The whole year has seen 13 increases, 1 suspension, and 5 declines, with more rises than falls overall. Gasoline and diesel prices have cumulatively increased by nearly 2,300 yuan per ton, equivalent to a rise of 1.89 to 2.03 yuan per liter. Filling a 50-liter tank now costs 90 to 100 yuan more than at the beginning of the year. At present, the national average reference fuel prices are: No. 92 gasoline at 8.59 yuan per liter, No. 95 gasoline at 9.17 yuan per liter, and No. 0 diesel at 8.27 yuan per liter.