On July 16, United Parcel Service rose 3.02% in regular trading, trading at $116.35/share, with turnover of $120 million. The rally was driven by news that 26 countries have announced suspension of postal parcel delivery services to the United States following the elimination of the sub-$800 import package duty-free threshold effective August 29.
According to Universal Postal Union statistics, the affected countries include major trading partners such as Germany, Australia, Canada, Japan, and Mexico. Notably, South Korea Post has explicitly stated that users may only ship packages to the US through UPS, signaling a potential large-scale redirection of cross-border parcel demand from national postal systems to commercial courier channels. This structural shift could deliver meaningful incremental volume to UPS.
The broader Air Freight and Logistics sector saw widespread gains, with Hub up 6.23%, C.H. Robinson up 3.75%, Expeditors up 2.04%, and FedEx up 1.47%. UPS reports next quarter earnings on July 28, with consensus EPS expectations of $1.65.
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