Earnings Beat Meets Cautious Guidance: NVIDIA Shares Ride AI Rollercoaster

Deep News
Yesterday

Investors in NVIDIA, the chipmaker at the epicenter of the artificial intelligence boom, found themselves on a wild ride as the company's blowout quarterly results clashed with a conservative near-term outlook, sending shares on a volatile post-earnings swing.

The company delivered a stellar fiscal second quarter, with revenue surging 106% year-over-year to $96.2 billion, while its data center segment posted a remarkable 117% jump to $89 billion. However, the real drama unfolded during the subsequent conference call, where management's forward-looking comments painted a picture of sustained growth that eased fears of an AI spending slowdown.

Chief Financial Officer Colette Kress offered a surprisingly upbeat projection for fiscal 2028, stating, "We expect revenue to grow approximately 70% in fiscal 2028." This figure stands in stark contrast to the roughly 45% growth rate that analysts had been modeling, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. Kress further noted that growth could accelerate even faster if supply constraints were alleviated, adding, "It's incredible that demand is still accelerating even at our scale. Customer forecasts suggest our growth rate could double next year."

CEO Jensen Huang reinforced this sentiment, assuring investors that the buildout of artificial intelligence infrastructure is proceeding at "full throttle." These optimistic remarks provided much-needed relief to those worried about a potential bubble in AI-related valuations, helping shares of the world's most valuable company reverse an earlier decline and surge as much as 5% in after-hours trading.

However, the initial euphoria was tempered by the company's guidance for the current quarter. NVIDIA projected revenue of approximately $108 billion, plus or minus 2%, for the fiscal third quarter. While this figure exceeds the average analyst estimate of $105.2 billion, it fell short of some Wall Street's more aggressive expectations, which had stretched beyond $110 billion. The company also guided to a gross margin of roughly 74%, reflecting production costs relative to revenue.

Following the release of this guidance, NVIDIA shares pulled back approximately 2% in extended trading, underscoring the market's heightened sensitivity to even minor deviations from lofty expectations.

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