Option Focus | Amazon's $7 Million Call Bet on $300 Strike by 2028 Signals Bullish Conviction, Though Cautious Hedging Tempers the Outlook

Option Witch
Aug 05

Amazon.com closed at USD 277.42, down 2.32%.

Despite the daily decline, the options market lit up with conviction-driven activity. A standout $7.28 million call purchase targeting the $300.00 strike by 2028 dominated the tape, reflecting a multi-year bullish thesis. A second, sizeable call bet for $295.00 in 2026 added to the upside narrative. Yet, the presence of income-oriented call selling and protective put buying suggests that while conviction exists, a cautious undercurrent of hedging tempers the outright bullish tone.

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Options Indicators

AMZN's implied volatility stands at 35.86%, while its IV percentile is 51.79%, which places current volatility conditions in a neutral range. In other words, options are neither especially cheap nor especially expensive relative to their own recent history. At the same time, the IV/HV ratio of 0.59 suggests implied volatility is running below historical volatility, indicating the market's forward pricing of volatility is relatively restrained. The Call/Put volume ratio is 1.95.

Large Trades

A CALL buy worth $7.28 million was the largest displayed trade, with 1,500 contracts purchased at the $300.00 strike expiring on 2028-01-21. With AMZN referenced at $277.42, this call was out of the money at the time of the trade, making it a clearly bullish long-dated directional bet. The buyer paid premium for substantial upside exposure over a multi-year horizon, suggesting conviction that Amazon can rise meaningfully above $300.00 before expiration while limiting risk to the premium spent.

A CALL buy worth $0.76 million was the other displayed large trade, with 3,000 contracts purchased at the $295.00 strike expiring on 2026-08-21. This strike was also out of the money versus the $277.42 reference stock price, so the trade likewise reflects bullish directional positioning. Compared with the longer-dated 2028 call purchase, this trade targeted a nearer time horizon but still expressed expectations for upside, with the buyer using call premium to gain leveraged exposure to a move above $295.00.

Overall, the large-trade flow leans bullish, but with a mixed and somewhat cautious tone. The sentiment summary shows bullish premium exceeding bearish premium, driven primarily by the two sizeable upside call purchases, including the standout long-dated $300.00 call buy. At the same time, the broader tape contained numerous bearish or income-oriented call sales and some downside put buying, which tempers the strength of the bullish read. Taken together, the conclusion is moderately bullish: investors appear to see upside potential in AMZN, but a meaningful portion of large traders still prefers to fade rallies, generate premium, or maintain downside protection.

Strategy Reference

With IV percentile near the midpoint, premium selling strategies offer a balanced risk-reward. A trader neutral-to-bullish on AMZN could consider selling a 30-45 day out-of-the-money put spread, such as a -$260.00/+$250.00 put vertical, to capitalize on current volatility levels while defining downside risk.

Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

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