On July 30, Fair Isaac fell 10.98% in pre-market trading, trading at $1264.48/share. The decline was triggered by the company's fiscal Q3 earnings report released after market close on July 29, in which revenue and full-year guidance fell short of elevated market expectations.
Specifically, Fair Isaac reported fiscal Q3 adjusted earnings of $12.18 per diluted share, up 42.12% year-over-year, beating the analyst consensus estimate of approximately $11.73. However, revenue came in at $674.2 million, missing the consensus estimate of $678.9 million. More critically, the company raised its fiscal 2026 full-year revenue guidance to approximately $2.53 billion, still below the FactSet estimate of $2.56 billion, while adjusted EPS guidance of $42.43 also trailed the analyst expectation of $43.18.
The stock had rallied over 5% in the sessions leading up to the earnings release, driven by consecutive quarters of significant beats and a recently announced $2 billion share repurchase program. The slight revenue miss combined with below-consensus full-year guidance caused a swift reversal in sentiment among investors positioned for another upside surprise, triggering aggressive selling pressure.
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